State auditor and Republican Senate nominee Matt Rosendale has taken an 11th-hour lead in Montana over Democrat Sen. Jon Tester (D-MT), surging ahead of the Democrat in the wake of President Donald Trump’s latest rally there on Saturday.
A Change Research poll released late Sunday evening shows Rosendale, at 49 percent, leading Tester’s 46 percent. Libertarian Rick Breckenridge, who dropped out last week and endorsed Rosendale’s campaign saying a Rosendale win is better for the liberty cause than a Tester win, got three percent in this survey.
MT Senate (n=879)
Matt Rosendale (R) 49
Jon Tester (D) 46
Rick Breckenridge (L) 3Tester only leads 51-38 among independents, and that's probably not enough for him to win. And Montana's political trends don't seem to be in his favor.
— Change Research (@ChangePolls) November 5, 2018
Change Research is a Democrat polling firm, so for its final poll of Montana to have Rosendale defeating Tester is a major deal. The survey also has Republican Rep. Greg Gianforte (R-MT) ahead of Democrat challenger Kathleen Williams, signaling that the Republicans have locked up another important swing congressional district on their narrow but still possible pathway to holding the House majority. In the RealClearPolitics map of competitive districts, Montana’s at-large congressional district is rated as a toss-up.- READ MORE