New Axios Polls: If Elections Were Held Today, GOP Would Gain a Senate Seat

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The new Axios polls have Republicans up big in Tennessee, leading in Florida, North Dakota, and Indiana, and within the margin of error in Nevada, Missouri, and Arizona.

If the midterm elections were held today, Republicans would not only avoid losing seats in the U.S. Senate, they would actually gain a seat and have a 52-48 majority.

Here’s where the GOP would gain seats, according to AxiosFlorida: Gov. Rick Scott (R-FL) is leading incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) 49-46. North Dakota: Rep. Kevin Cramer (R-ND) is leading incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND) 52-47 Indiana: Businessman Mike Braun is leading incumbent Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN) 49-47. – READ MORE

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House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi’s net favorability rating now sits at -24, just shy of her historic low -27 favorability rating in October 2010 – the month before voters handed control of Congress to Republicans.

The Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, Republican Paul Ryan, who announced earlier this year that he is retiring in January 2019, has the most positive ratings: 40% favorable and 45% unfavorable. His resulting net -5 image score compares with his Senate counterpart, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s -26. Across the aisle, House Democratic Leader Nancy Pelosi’s net favorability of -24 is similar to McConnell’s, while Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer’s -15 is somewhat better. …

The current net favorable rating for McConnell is the historical worst for him since Gallup’s first reading in 2010, and Pelosi’s is close to her -27 record worst in October 2010.

The situation portends bad things for Democrats in 2018, as the only Democrat America dislikes more than Pelosi is Hillary Clinton, who is viewed positively by a mere 27 percent, according to an April Wall Street Journal poll.

In November 2010 – a month after Pelosi’s historic low – Democrats suffered some of the biggest election losses since the Great Depression. Republicans gained 63 seats in the House to take the majority – the largest swing in a midterm since 1938 – and also picked up six seats in the Senate to expand the GOP majority in the upper chamber. – READ MORE

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