Will West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin Switch Parties Next Week?

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Next week we will see another Senate vote to overturn Obamacare.  The Graham-Cassidy bill, which has suddenly gained momentum has a real chance of passage.  I would not count on Senator McCain to vote for it. Despite his long friendship with Lindsey Graham he seems to hate Donald Trump more than he likes Graham. Yet there is another path to victory, and that path goes through West Virginia.

The Governor of West Virginia, Jim Justice, changed his party affiliation to Republican in August.   He knew that Trump was a big winner in WV and that there was little downside politically to changing sides to the GOP as that party is now favored by voters.  Consider Democrat Joe Manchin, who is running for re-election in as Senator in West Virginia.  Why should he stay with a party that looks to have lost the state.  What advantage does being a Democrat give him? Governor Justice has just endorsed Manchin for re-election in what appears to be a hotly contested election for 2018.   Manchin is apparently facing an uphill battle, but that might quickly change.  Suppose, with the assistance of President Trump, Manchin looked at the writing on the wall and decided to change party affiliation, just like Jim Justice.   If he did that at the beginning of next week and brought another vote to pass Graham-Cassidy he would be an instant hero to most Republicans and become hated  by many Democrats.

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