The tropical storm that’s churning toward Florida and could move up the East Coast ‘has a mind of its own’

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As tropical storm Hermine — upgraded from a tropical depression on Wednesday afternoon — takes aim at Florida’s western Big Bend this week, a number of questions remain.

Here’s what we do know:

  • Hermine seems very likely to make landfall late Thursday night.
  • Floridians, who haven’t seen a hurricane make landfall since 2005, should prepare for a significant storm surge.
  • A National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration hurricane watch is in effect for parts of Florida and Georgia, and a warning is in effect throughout the Big Bend. There’s a real risk of the storm gaining strength in the next 36 hours, possibly to hurricane levels.
  • After moving through Florida, Hermine is expected to cause some trouble in the Carolinas and across the East Coast – but the details remain uncertain.

The cone in this map offers some idea of where Hermine might travel over the course of the next several days. But it doesn’t offer a full picture of how uncertain things are right now. – READ MORE

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